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Gold Gave 80% Return In 2025, Where Will The Prices Go In 2026, Can The Price Fall? Answers To 5 Big Questions

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Aarav Sharma
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December 30, 2025
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New Delhi. In terms of returns, the year 2025 (Gold Price Target 2025) was very auspicious for gold, because after 46 years this precious metal has given returns of about 80 percent in any one year. This big rise in the price of gold has been seen after 1979. Well, this is about 2025, now the question is whether the rise in gold prices will continue in 2026 also, and if yes, then how much return can gold give next year? Ajay Kedia, founder of Kedia Advisory, has answered all these questions related to gold.

Let us tell you how much gold can rise in 2026 and to what levels its price can reach.

Why was there a big rise in gold in 2025?

Founder of Kedia Advisory, Ajay Kedia said that after 1979, gold prices have seen an increase of about 80 percent within a year. There are many reasons for this. In fact, after 2020, many problems one after the other continuously promoted the rise in gold.

These reasons included the Covid pandemic, Russia-Ukraine war, de-dollarization, gold buying by the Central Bank, US Fed rate cut, non-functioning of the stock market and the threat of recession. This is the first time in history that apart from geopolitical tension, so many reasons have come to the fore simultaneously.

Will gold prices increase in 2026?

In response to the question whether in 2026 too, there will be a rise in gold prices like in 2025, Ajay Kedia said, "No, it is not possible because the major reasons due to which gold prices have risen in the year 2025, have now started maturing or will happen."

What will be the return on investment in gold in 2026?

Ajay Kedia said that gold will give an average return of 12 to 15 percent in 2026. Next year, gold prices may go up to a maximum of $ 4850 per ounce (Rs 165000), downside to $ 3800 per ounce (Rs 118000).

Will there be a big fall in gold in 2026?

According to Ajay Kedia, there may be a big fall in the price of gold in the year 2026, because after the continuous rise, profit booking is due. Earlier in October, gold had fallen by 13 percent. Since, the downside risk in gold is $3800 per ounce, hence gold can reach the level of Rs 118000 per ten grams.

Also read- Explained: Big rise in gold, silver and copper after decades, why did the prices increase, will there be demand in 2026 also?

What will be the reasons for the decline in gold in 2026?

Since, there are many reasons for the rise in gold, it may mature in 2026. Among these, there are chances of the Russia-Ukraine war ending soon. At the same time, stability in dollar prices can now be seen. At the same time, investors buying gold ETFs can bring money into other asset classes.

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